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18.07.2025 04:54 AM
2025年7月18日 歐元/美元預測

週四,歐元收盤下跌43個點,但整體來看,市場的風險偏好正在回升:S&P 500上漲0.54%,WTI原油上漲1.76%,比特幣增長了0.43%。雖然政府債券收益率在過去四天都持平,但仍表明過去兩週的上升趨勢可能會繼續。在這種情緒下,歐元可能會有進一步的上漲。

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歐元的自由活動範圍擴展到了MACD線的阻力區間,位於1.1535–1.1740。這個範圍可能會持續到即將召開的聯邦儲備會議,預計該會議將引發所有市場的重大逆轉。

在當前格局中,歐元技術上正準備向下突破,因為它仍然低於MACD線,但仍然徘徊在平衡線之上,這表明投資者對購買的興趣依然存在。這一安排表明,未來幾天可能會呈現橫向波動。若明確跌破1.1535,將開闢通往1.1420目標的道路。Marlin震盪指標仍處於負值區間,對風險情緒的變化反應靈敏。

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在H4圖表上,MACD線正接近關鍵阻力位1.1692。如果歐元繼續上升,該線可能在價格觸及該水準前先達到,加強阻力並可能引發回調。若突破1.1692將進一步增加樂觀情緒,為攻擊1.1740鋪平道路。匯聚有助於推動價格測試最近的阻力位。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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