Bitcoin remains above 114,000 and is preparing for a significant move. Ethereum has also shown good growth.

All the focus will be on US inflation. If prices decrease significantly, Bitcoin may respond with a fresh surge, as this will increase the chances of a more active rate-cutting cycle by the Federal Reserve. As the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin is especially sensitive to changes in Federal Reserve monetary policy. Lower US inflation can be seen as a signal for a more dovish monetary stance. This, in turn, would weaken the US dollar and increase the attractiveness of alternative assets such as Bitcoin. Lower interest rates also reduce borrowing costs, which can stimulate investment in riskier assets such as cryptocurrencies. However, it's essential to keep in mind that inflation's impact on Bitcoin is a complex, multifaceted process.

Other factors, including geopolitical risks, regulatory changes, and technological innovation, also play important roles. Nonetheless, lower inflation in the US is undoubtedly a positive factor for Bitcoin, capable of supporting its further growth. In the event of a significant deviation from forecasts, increased market volatility and a reassessment of investment strategies should be expected in the crypto market.

The altseason index has also risen sharply recently. This means traders are again betting on big gains from altcoins. Just recently, one of the world's leading crypto exchanges released a report stating that an altcoin season is expected in Q3 2025.

As for my intraday strategy in the cryptocurrency market, I will continue to rely on any major pullbacks in Bitcoin and Ethereum as entry opportunities, expecting the development of a medium-term bull market to continue.

For short-term trading, the strategy and conditions are described below.

Bitcoin

Buy Scenario

Scenario 1: I will buy Bitcoin today if the entry point reaches around $114,500, targeting growth to $115,800. Around $115,800, I'll exit long positions and sell immediately on a bounce. Before buying a breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in the zone above zero.

Scenario 2: You can buy Bitcoin from the lower boundary of $113,800 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, aiming for a reversal back towards $114,500 and $115,800.

Sell Scenario

Scenario 1: I will sell Bitcoin today if the entry point reaches around $113,800, targeting a fall to $112,300. Around $112,300, I'll exit shorts and buy immediately on a bounce. Before selling a breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in the zone below zero.

Scenario 2: You can sell Bitcoin from the upper boundary of $114,500 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, aiming for a reversal back towards $113,800 and $112,300.

Ethereum

Buy Scenario

Scenario 1: I will buy Ethereum today if the entry point reaches around $4,434, targeting growth to $4,484. Around $4,484, I'll exit long positions and sell immediately on a bounce. Before buying a breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in the zone above zero.

Scenario 2: You can buy Ethereum from the lower boundary of $4,397 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, aiming for a reversal back towards $4,434 and $4,484.

Sell Scenario

Scenario 1: I will sell Ethereum today if the entry point reaches around $4,397, targeting a fall to $4,349. Around $4,349, I'll exit shorts and buy immediately on a bounce. Before selling a breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in the zone below zero.

Scenario 2: You can sell Ethereum from the upper boundary of $4,434 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, aiming for a reversal back towards $4,397 and $4,349.