empty
 
 
08.05.2025 11:12 AM
EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair is falling below the psychological level of 1.1300.

This image is no longer relevant
The election of Friedrich Merz as Chancellor of Germany reduces uncertainty regarding the economic strength of the Eurozone, thereby providing support for the euro. At the same time, the U.S. dollar is struggling to find meaningful support despite the Federal Reserve's hawkish pause on Wednesday. This creates an additional positive backdrop for the EUR/USD pair.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that there is considerable uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade tariffs and that, under current conditions, it is more prudent to wait for further clarity. This suggests that the central bank is not planning to cut rates in the near term. However, the economic uncertainty caused by trade tariffs has forced dollar bulls into a more cautious, defensive position. Investors remain wary due to the rapidly shifting trade policies under President Trump. Reports that the European Union might impose tariffs on Boeing aircraft in the event of failed negotiations with the U.S. increase the risk of further escalation in the trade conflict. This also discourages traders from buying the single currency in the EUR/USD pair.

This image is no longer relevant
Today, to seize better trading opportunities, attention should be paid to the release of the U.S. weekly jobless claims data. During the U.S. session, a press conference by Trump is scheduled to take place in the Oval Office, which may provide momentum for the pair. Additionally, the speech by ECB Supervisory Board member Tuominen is expected to impact market volatility.

Technical Outlook:

If the pair falls below the support level at 1.1265, the next stop will be the psychological level of 1.1200. A break below this level will open the way for deeper losses.

The resistance level is at 1.1375; above that lies a supply zone at 1.1425. If the pair manages to consolidate in this zone, it may target the round number 1.1500, with the ambition of retesting last month's high near 1.1570 and possibly extending toward 1.1600.

So far, daily chart oscillators have not crossed into negative territory, which means the EUR/USD pair still has a chance to reverse north. Nevertheless, attention should be paid to shorter timeframes, where the oscillators have already moved into the negative zone

Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Depósito al azar
    ¡Haga un depósito en su cuenta de $3,000 y obtenga $9000 más!
    ¡En Mayo, sorteamos $9000 dentro de la campaña Depósito afortunado!
    Obtenga la oportunidad de ganar depositando $3,000 en una cuenta de operaciones. Tras haber cumplido esta condición, se convertirá en un participante de la campaña.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Opere de forma inteligente, gane un dispositivo
    Recargue su cuenta con al menos $500, regístrese en el concurso y tenga la oportunidad de ganar dispositivos móviles.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • 100% de bonificación
    Su oportunidad única de obtener un bono del 100 % en su depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 55% de bonificación
    Solicite un bono del 55% en cada depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 30% de bonificación
    Reciba un bono del 30% cada vez que recargue su cuenta
    OBTENER BONO

Recommended Stories

¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback